source:SHANALEBOWITZANDDRAKEBAER 欲翻译的小伙伴,可评论领稿,并把已完成的译文贴在评论处或发在自己的心理圈内。请领稿的小伙伴,尽量在一个星期内完成翻译,谢谢!! Youmakethousandsofdecisionseverydayfromwhattoeatforbreakfasttowhichjoboffertotake。 Andyoumightthinkyouapproachallthosedecisionsrationally。 Yetresearchsuggeststhereareahugenumberofcognitivestumblingblocksthatcanaffectourbehavior,preventingusfromactinginourownbestinterests。 Here,veroundedupsomeofthemostcommonlycitedbiasesthatscrewupourdecisionmaking。 Peopleareoverreliantonthefirstpieceofinformationtheyhear。 Inasalarynegotiation,forinstance,smind。 Anycounterofferwillnaturallybeanchoredbythatopeningoffer。 Availabilityheuristic Whenpeopleoverestimatetheimportanceofinformationthatisavailabletothem。 Forinstance,apersonmightarguethatsmokingisnotunhealthyonthebasisthathisgrandfatherlivedto100andsmokedthreepacksaday。 Bandwagoneffect Theprobabilityofonepersonadoptingabeliefincreasesbasedonthenumberofpeoplewhoholdthatbelief。Tsareasonmeetingsareoftenunproductive。 Blindspotbias Failingtorecognizeyourcognitivebiasesisabiasinitself。 Notably,PrincetonpsychologistEmilyPindividualsseetheexistenceandoperationofcognitiveandmotivationalbiasesmuchmoreinothersthaninthemselves。 Choicesupportivebias Whenyouchoosesomething,youtendtofeelpositiveaboutit,evenifthechoicehasflaws。Youthinkthatyourdogisawesomeevenifitbitespeopleeveryonceinawhileandthatotherdogsarestupid,renotyours。 Clusteringillusion Thisisthetendencytoseepatternsinrandomevents。Itiscentraltovariousgamblingfallacies,liketheideathatredismoreorlesslikelytoturnuponarouletteafterastringofreds。 Confirmationbias Wssohardtohaveanintelligentconversationaboutclimatechange。 Conservatismbias Wherepeoplebelievepriorevidencemorethannewevidenceorinformationthathasemerged。PeoplewereslowtoacceptthefactthattheEarthwasroundbecausetheymaintainedtheirearlierunderstandingthattheplanetwasflat。 Informationbias Thetendencytoseekinformationwhenitdoesnotaffectaction。Moreinformationisnotalwaysbetter。Indeed,withlessinformation,peoplecanoftenmakemoreaccuratepredictions。 Ostricheffect Tsheadinthesand,likeanostrich。Researchsuggeststhatinvestorscheckthevalueoftheirholdingssignificantlylessoftenduringbadmarkets。 Bsanupsidetoactinglikeabigbird,atleastforinvestors。Whenyouhavelimitedknowledgeaboutyourholdings,relesslikelytotrade,whichgenerallytranslatestohigherreturnsinthelongrun。 Outcomebias Judgingadecisionbasedontheoutcomeratherthanhowexactlythedecisionwasmadeinthemoment。JustbecauseyouwonalotinVtmeangamblingyourmoneywasasmartdecision。 Overconfidence Someofusaretooconfidentaboutourabilities,andthiscausesustotakegreaterrisksinourdailylives。 Perhapssurprisingly,expertsaremorepronetothisbiasthanlaypeople。Asright。