翻译还有哪些NBA球员可以在历史得分榜上赶上贾巴尔？

　　LeBron James is days away from breaking Kareem Abdul-Jabbar’s career points record, and the 38-year-old is sprinting to the finish line with one of his highest-scoring seasons to date. Yet he’s not the only star racking up points this season. Offense is up, the league is flush with talent, and spectacular statistical showings have become the nightly norm. So while catching LeBron may be impossible, the next generations of top scorers may have an easier path to rarefied air.
　　勒布朗·詹姆斯打破了卡里姆·阿卜杜勒·贾巴尔保持了34年的职业生涯得分记录，这位 38 岁的球员正以他迄今为止得分最高的赛季之一成为了历史第一。然而，他并不是本赛季唯一进攻火力全开的球星。联盟人才济济，精彩的数据已经成为每晚的常态。因此，虽然追上勒布朗可能是不可能的，但下一代顶级得分手有可能再次突破贾巴尔的纪录。
　　At the moment, only seven players in NBA history—including LeBron—have reached 30,000 points. But an application of Bill James’s ＂favorite toy＂ model, which estimates career totals based on age and track record, reveals that 19 more active players have at least a reasonable chance to break the 30,000 threshold:
　　目前，NBA 历史上只有七名球员——包括勒布朗——达到了 30,000 分。但一詹姆斯为模型（根据年龄和记录来估算职业生涯总数）显示，还有 19 名更年轻的球员至少有合理的机会突破 30,000 分的门槛：
　　1. 凯文杜兰特：95% 达到 30,000 分 2.德马尔-德罗赞：51% 3.扬尼斯-阿德托昆博：49% 4.詹姆斯-哈登：47% 5.杰森·塔图姆：45% 6. 卢卡-东契奇：44% 7. 拉塞尔威斯布鲁克：37% 8.尼古拉·约基奇：28% 9. 斯蒂芬库里：24% 10.崔英：23% 11.乔尔-恩比德：20% 12.安东尼·爱德华兹：17% 13.朱利叶斯兰德尔：15% 14. 谢吉尔吉斯-亚历山大：14% 15.德文布克：14% 16.扎克-拉文：13% 17.达米安利拉德：13% 18.杰伦布朗：11% 19.多诺万-米切尔：10%
　　There’s a giant leap from 30,000 to 38,387, however, and only four of those 19 high scorers are at a 10 percent chance or better to follow in LeBron’s footsteps and pass Abdul-Jabbar’s once-hallowed mark. Veterans like DeRozan and Harden have a good chance of reaching the big round number, but almost no possibility of pushing onward to Abdul-Jabbar’s threshold because of their ages.
　　The foursome that does have a shot at passing Abdul-Jabbar includes just one player in his 30s and one player in his late 20s, along with two of the NBA’s brightest young stars:
　　然而，从 30,000 到 38,387 有一个巨大的飞跃，而且这 19 名高分球员中只有四名有 10% 或以上的机会跟随勒布朗的脚步并超过阿卜杜勒-贾巴尔曾经遥不可及的纪录。像德罗赞和哈登这样的老将很有可能超越，但由于年龄的限制，几乎没有可能达到阿卜杜勒-贾巴尔的门槛。
　　确实有机会超过阿卜杜勒-贾巴尔的四人组包括一名 30 多岁的球员和一名 20 多岁的球员，以及两名 NBA 最耀眼的年轻球星：
　　1. 塔图姆：有 17% 的几率追上卡里姆 2.东契奇：17% 3.杜兰特：11% 4.字母哥：11%
　　Both Doncic and Tatum have arguments in their favor for being the most likely to follow LeBron past Abdul-Jabbar. Doncic is a year younger and a better scorer than Tatum on a per-game basis, which would seem to make him the clear favorite, but his relative lack of health could hamper his pursuit of career records. Doncic has already missed more games in five years in the NBA than LeBron missed in his first 11 seasons.
　　Health and longevity are requirements for accumulating the loftiest statistical totals. The top three scorers in NBA history—Abdul-Jabbar, LeBron, and Karl Malone—all rank in the top 10 in career games played.
　　东契奇和塔图姆都有自己的优势，让人们认为他们最有可能跟随勒布朗超越阿卜杜勒-贾巴尔。东契奇比塔图姆年轻一岁，并且在场均得分上比塔图姆更好，这似乎使他成为明显的热门，但他相对较差的健康状况可能会阻碍他对记录的追求。东契奇在 NBA 的五年里缺席的比赛已经比勒布朗前 11 个赛季缺席的还要多。
　　健康和生涯的长寿是积累得分总数的要求。NBA 历史上排名前三的得分手——阿卜杜勒-贾巴尔、勒布朗和卡尔马龙——在职业生涯出场的比赛数都排在前 10 位。
　　That factor is what dims Durant’s chances, even though the Nets wing is the top active scorer behind LeBron, with nearly 27,000 career points, and has exhibited essentially no falloff even as he’s entered his mid-30s. Durant hasn’t averaged fewer than 25 points per game in any season since he was a rookie. But whether the injury-plagued superstar can play enough games to score the extra 12,000 points he’d need to catch Abdul-Jabbar remains a thorny question.
　　这个因素使杜兰特的机会渺茫，尽管这位网队的前锋是仅次于勒布朗的顶级得分手，职业生涯得分接近 27,000，并且即使在他 30 多岁了也基本没有下滑。自新秀赛季以来，杜兰特在任何一个赛季的场均得分都没有低于 25 分。但这位饱受伤病困扰的超级巨星能否打足够多的比赛来获得追上阿卜杜勒-贾巴尔所需的额外 12,000 分仍然是一个棘手的问题。
　　Finally, Giannis’s odds are diminished by the relatively slow start to his career; he didn’t reach 20 points per game until his fourth season, whereas LeBron, Durant, and Doncic were all at that level as rookies. The two-time MVP is making up for lost time, though, as he has more points than any other player over the last half decade and is still squarely in his prime.
　　最后，字母哥的几率因为他职业生涯的起步相对缓慢而降低了；直到他的第四个赛季，他才达到场均 20 分，而勒布朗、杜兰特和东契奇在新秀时都处于这个水平。不过，这位两届 MVP 正在弥补失去的时间，因为他在过去五年中的得分比任何其他球员都多，而且仍处于巅峰时期。